Climate vulnerability and food insecurity in Algeria's cereal belt: Evidence from Setif

• Fodhil Boudjllal

  University Lecturer and Researcher, Constantine 1 – Frères Mentouri, Algeria

• Tahar Kharchi

  University Lecturer and Researcher, Teacher Education College of Setif, Algeria

The wilaya of Setif, the primary cereal hub of Algeria's Eastern Highlands, concentrates agricultural, economic, and climatic challenges of national scope. This article analyses the interactions between growing climatic variability, cereal production dynamics, and food security at both the wilaya and national scales. Drawing on data from the FAO, USDA, Algeria's Ministry of Agriculture (MADR), the Setif Directorate of Agricultural Services (DSA), and the National Meteorological Office (ONM), the study demonstrates that dependence on rainfall, insufficient irrigation infrastructure, and climatic hazards collectively explain the high volatility of cereal yields. Simultaneously, Algeria's structural dependence on wheat imports has reached alarming levels, exceeding 70% of national consumption covered by international markets. An original analysis of the Eastern Highlands is proposed, and evidence-based public policy recommendations are formulated, oriented towards agricultural resilience, irrigation expansion, and supply chain diversification.

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